Lets first look at the VISA Bulletin for November 1 2011 from USCIS. If you notice the red numbers, you can realize that in November of 2011, they were processing November 1st 2007 applications (more accurately - Priority Dates). So, the gap is 4 years exactly.
In last 4-5 months the PD has advanced tremendously after remaining stagnant for a really long time. In the mean time, USCIS has also increased the number of H1b VISA in current year.
Most of the PREDICTION GURUs are expecting another impressive movement in December VISA Bulletin to may be May/June 2008.
http://travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5572.html
Employment- Based | All Charge-ability Areas Except Those Listed | CHINA- mainland born | INDIA | MEXICO | PHILIPPINES |
1st | C | C | C | C | C |
2nd | C | 01NOV07 | 01NOV07 | C | C |
3rd | 22DEC05 | 22AUG04 | 22JUL02 | 22DEC05 | 22DEC05 |
Other Workers* | 15NOV05 | 22APR03 | 15JUN02 | 15NOV05 | 15NOV05 |
4th | C | C | C | C | C |
Certain Religious Workers | C | C | C | C | C |
5th | C | C | C | C | C |
we predict the movement will be to MARCH 08, 2012 for EB2 India.
What is Visa Bulletin?
US Visa Bulletin is released by USCIS within first two weeks of any given month. The Visa bulletin lists the current processing priority dates for I485 applications by USCIS. The Visa bulletin is released for the upcoming month. For example, Visa bulletin for Dec 2012 will be released around 10th Nov 2012. These discussions get muddled up along with numerous other discussions. Therefore we strive to maintain this forum area specific to Visa Bulletin discussions, questions and concerns.
US Visa Bulletin is released by USCIS within first two weeks of any given month. The Visa bulletin lists the current processing priority dates for I485 applications by USCIS. The Visa bulletin is released for the upcoming month. For example, Visa bulletin for Dec 2012 will be released around 10th Nov 2012. These discussions get muddled up along with numerous other discussions. Therefore we strive to maintain this forum area specific to Visa Bulletin discussions, questions and concerns.
Some statistics
All Certified PERM by Calendar Year of Receipt (PD) by FY of Approval
CHINA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 186 ------- 8 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------------- 0 ------- 194
2006 ------- 3,053 ------ 39 ------ 16 ------- 3 ------------- 0 ----- 3,111
2007 ------- 3,607 --- 1,916 ----- 179 ----- 198 ------------- 5 ----- 5,905
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,365 --- 1,915 ----- 666 ----------- 208 ----- 4,154
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 2 --- 2,169 ----------- 119 ----- 2,290
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 1,016 --------- 1,465 ----- 2,481
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 948 ------- 948
Total ------ 6,846 --- 3,328 --- 2,112 --- 4,052 --------- 2,745 ---- 19,083
INDIA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 393 ------ 27 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 426
2006 ------ 11,461 ----- 108 ------ 54 ------ 11 ------------- 1 ---- 11,635
2007 ------ 12,719 --- 8,335 ----- 962 --- 1,005 ------------ 51 ---- 23,072
2008 ----------- 0 --- 8,099 -- 10,358 --- 3,702 --------- 1,344 ---- 23,503
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 15,054 --------- 1,388 ---- 16,450
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 9,157 -------- 12,683 ---- 21,840
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 9,108 ----- 9,108
Total ----- 24,573 -- 16,569 -- 11,387 -- 28,930 -------- 24,575 --- 106,034
MEXICO ---- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 403 ------ 32 ------- 3 ------- 3 ------------- 1 ------- 442
2006 ------- 2,975 ----- 142 ------ 39 ------ 16 ------------- 3 ----- 3,175
2007 ------- 3,064 --- 1,409 ----- 141 ----- 126 ------------ 11 ----- 4,751
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,861 ----- 591 ----- 878 ----------- 618 ----- 3,948
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 1 --- 1,787 ----------- 165 ----- 1,953
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----- 496 ----------- 654 ----- 1,150
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 365 ------- 365
Total ------ 6,442 --- 3,444 ----- 775 --- 3,306 --------- 1,817 ---- 15,784
PHIL. ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 192 ------- 9 ------- 1 ------- 3 ------------- 0 ------- 205
2006 ------- 1,913 ------ 64 ------ 19 ------ 15 ------------- 0 ----- 2,011
2007 ------- 2,716 --- 1,519 ------ 99 ------ 84 ------------- 1 ----- 4,419
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,403 --- 1,510 ----- 483 ----------- 173 ----- 3,569
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 2 --- 1,986 ------------ 98 ----- 2,086
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----- 734 ----------- 917 ----- 1,651
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 396 ------- 396
Total ------ 4,821 --- 2,995 --- 1,631 --- 3,305 --------- 1,585 ---- 14,337
ROW ------- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 ------- 1,723 ----- 145 ------ 17 ------- 6 ------------- 1 ----- 1,892
2006 ------ 19,807 ----- 548 ----- 196 ------ 39 ------------- 3 ---- 20,593
2007 ------ 20,900 -- 11,545 --- 1,421 --- 1,313 ------------ 55 ---- 35,234
2008 ----------- 0 -- 10,631 -- 11,958 --- 5,213 --------- 2,066 ---- 29,868
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 5 -- 17,426 --------- 1,335 ---- 18,766
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 6,647 --------- 8,715 ---- 15,362
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 5,008 ----- 5,008
Total ----- 42,430 -- 22,869-- 13,597 --- 30,644 -------- 17,183 --- 126,723
Ch & In. -- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 579 ------ 35 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 620
2006 ------ 14,514 ----- 147 ------ 70 ------ 14 ------------- 1 ---- 14,746
2007 ------ 16,326 -- 10,251 --- 1,141 --- 1,203 ------------ 56 ---- 28,977
2008 ----------- 0 --- 9,464 -- 12,273 --- 4,368 --------- 1,552 ---- 27,657
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------ 10 -- 17,223 --------- 1,507 ---- 18,740
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 -- 10,173 -------- 14,148 ---- 24,321
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 -------- 10,056 ---- 10,056
Total ----- 31,419 -- 19,897 -- 13,499 -- 32,982 -------- 27,320 --- 125,117
ROW-M-P --- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 ------- 2,318 ----- 186 ------ 21 ------ 12 ------------- 2 ----- 2,539
2006 ------ 24,695 ----- 754 ----- 254 ------ 70 ------------- 6 ---- 25,779
2007 ------ 26,680 -- 14,473 --- 1,661 --- 1,523 ------------ 67 ---- 44,404
2008 ----------- 0 -- 13,895 -- 14,059 --- 6,574 --------- 2,857 ---- 37,385
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 21,199 --------- 1,598 ---- 22,805
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 7,877 -------- 10,286 ---- 18,163
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 5,769 ----- 5,769
Total ----- 53,693 -- 29,308 -- 16,003 -- 37,255 -------- 20,585 --- 156,844
ALL ------- 85,112 -- 49,205 -- 29,502 -- 70,237 -------- 47,905 --- 281,961
CHINA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 186 ------- 8 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------------- 0 ------- 194
2006 ------- 3,053 ------ 39 ------ 16 ------- 3 ------------- 0 ----- 3,111
2007 ------- 3,607 --- 1,916 ----- 179 ----- 198 ------------- 5 ----- 5,905
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,365 --- 1,915 ----- 666 ----------- 208 ----- 4,154
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 2 --- 2,169 ----------- 119 ----- 2,290
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 1,016 --------- 1,465 ----- 2,481
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 948 ------- 948
Total ------ 6,846 --- 3,328 --- 2,112 --- 4,052 --------- 2,745 ---- 19,083
INDIA ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 393 ------ 27 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 426
2006 ------ 11,461 ----- 108 ------ 54 ------ 11 ------------- 1 ---- 11,635
2007 ------ 12,719 --- 8,335 ----- 962 --- 1,005 ------------ 51 ---- 23,072
2008 ----------- 0 --- 8,099 -- 10,358 --- 3,702 --------- 1,344 ---- 23,503
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 15,054 --------- 1,388 ---- 16,450
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 9,157 -------- 12,683 ---- 21,840
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 9,108 ----- 9,108
Total ----- 24,573 -- 16,569 -- 11,387 -- 28,930 -------- 24,575 --- 106,034
MEXICO ---- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 403 ------ 32 ------- 3 ------- 3 ------------- 1 ------- 442
2006 ------- 2,975 ----- 142 ------ 39 ------ 16 ------------- 3 ----- 3,175
2007 ------- 3,064 --- 1,409 ----- 141 ----- 126 ------------ 11 ----- 4,751
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,861 ----- 591 ----- 878 ----------- 618 ----- 3,948
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 1 --- 1,787 ----------- 165 ----- 1,953
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----- 496 ----------- 654 ----- 1,150
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 365 ------- 365
Total ------ 6,442 --- 3,444 ----- 775 --- 3,306 --------- 1,817 ---- 15,784
PHIL. ----- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 192 ------- 9 ------- 1 ------- 3 ------------- 0 ------- 205
2006 ------- 1,913 ------ 64 ------ 19 ------ 15 ------------- 0 ----- 2,011
2007 ------- 2,716 --- 1,519 ------ 99 ------ 84 ------------- 1 ----- 4,419
2008 ----------- 0 --- 1,403 --- 1,510 ----- 483 ----------- 173 ----- 3,569
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 2 --- 1,986 ------------ 98 ----- 2,086
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----- 734 ----------- 917 ----- 1,651
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ----------- 396 ------- 396
Total ------ 4,821 --- 2,995 --- 1,631 --- 3,305 --------- 1,585 ---- 14,337
ROW ------- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 ------- 1,723 ----- 145 ------ 17 ------- 6 ------------- 1 ----- 1,892
2006 ------ 19,807 ----- 548 ----- 196 ------ 39 ------------- 3 ---- 20,593
2007 ------ 20,900 -- 11,545 --- 1,421 --- 1,313 ------------ 55 ---- 35,234
2008 ----------- 0 -- 10,631 -- 11,958 --- 5,213 --------- 2,066 ---- 29,868
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 5 -- 17,426 --------- 1,335 ---- 18,766
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 6,647 --------- 8,715 ---- 15,362
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 5,008 ----- 5,008
Total ----- 42,430 -- 22,869-- 13,597 --- 30,644 -------- 17,183 --- 126,723
Ch & In. -- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 --------- 579 ------ 35 ------- 5 ------- 1 ------------- 0 ------- 620
2006 ------ 14,514 ----- 147 ------ 70 ------ 14 ------------- 1 ---- 14,746
2007 ------ 16,326 -- 10,251 --- 1,141 --- 1,203 ------------ 56 ---- 28,977
2008 ----------- 0 --- 9,464 -- 12,273 --- 4,368 --------- 1,552 ---- 27,657
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------ 10 -- 17,223 --------- 1,507 ---- 18,740
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 -- 10,173 -------- 14,148 ---- 24,321
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 -------- 10,056 ---- 10,056
Total ----- 31,419 -- 19,897 -- 13,499 -- 32,982 -------- 27,320 --- 125,117
ROW-M-P --- FY2007 -- FY2008 -- FY2009 -- FY2010 -- FY2011 Q1-Q3 -- CY Total
2005 ------- 2,318 ----- 186 ------ 21 ------ 12 ------------- 2 ----- 2,539
2006 ------ 24,695 ----- 754 ----- 254 ------ 70 ------------- 6 ---- 25,779
2007 ------ 26,680 -- 14,473 --- 1,661 --- 1,523 ------------ 67 ---- 44,404
2008 ----------- 0 -- 13,895 -- 14,059 --- 6,574 --------- 2,857 ---- 37,385
2009 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 8 -- 21,199 --------- 1,598 ---- 22,805
2010 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --- 7,877 -------- 10,286 ---- 18,163
2011 ----------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 ------- 0 --------- 5,769 ----- 5,769
Total ----- 53,693 -- 29,308 -- 16,003 -- 37,255 -------- 20,585 --- 156,844
ALL ------- 85,112 -- 49,205 -- 29,502 -- 70,237 -------- 47,905 --- 281,961
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